Janet Yellen says soft landing looks good, unemployment may level off

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she sees a good chance of the US economy achieving a soft landing, with the unemployment rate — which has ticked up in recent months — averting a sharp increase. “Signs are very good that we’ll achieve a soft landing, with unemployment stabilizing more or less where it is, or … Read more

Fed is done raising interest rates, economists say

The chief economists at the American Bankers Association are of the opinion that the US Federal Reserve is done with raising interest rates and will likely to cut them by roughly one percentage point next year, reported the Bloomberg. The latest forecast from the Economic Advisory Committee of the American Bankers Association shows that the … Read more

Rising Risk: US Banks Face Deposit Flight Threat With Shrinking Profits

Moody’s, the credit ratings agency, recently issued a new cautionary message concerning the U.S. banking system. What Happened: Moody’s shared in a note its decision to lower the ratings of 10 regional banks and that it is contemplating whether to downgrade several major lenders, including Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB), State Street Corp (NYSE:STT), Truist Financial Corp (NYSE:TFC), Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc (NYSE:CFR) and Northern Trust Corp (NASDAQ:NTRS). … Read more

Janet Yellen says China slowdown risks spillovers but no US recession

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said China’s economic slowdown risks causing ripple effects across the global economy, though she doesn’t expect a recession in the US. “Many countries do depend on strong Chinese growth to promote growth in their own economies, particularly countries in Asia — and slow growth in China can have some negative spillovers … Read more

The Fed Will Cut Rates in the Fall As Credit Faces ‘Tight Vise’

The Fed will finally cut interest rates in the fall, former PIMCO economist Paul McCulley predicted. That’s because banking turmoil will put credit in a “tight vise,” slowing the economy, he warned. Economists have flagged the risk of recession over the past year as the Fed aggressively hiked rates. Despite what Jerome Powell and the … Read more

Short-Term Yields Are Climbing but Watch for a Fed Policy Pivot

“Boring” money markets funds are in style with short-term bond yields up, said SoFi’s Liz Young. Yields are in the 5% range as investors see the Fed potentially driving up its key rate higher. Young said if the Fed were to swing back to rate cuts, watch out for falling yields. A year after the … Read more

US Consumers Could Face High Prices for Longer Due to a Weaker Dollar

US inflation has steadily cooled since mid-2022, thanks to large interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve. However, a four-month drop in the dollar is threatening to derail that trend by raising the cost of imported goods. The dollar index has fallen by more than 11% from a peak reached in late September. US consumers are … Read more