Rate easing may have to wait, highlights RBI in its latest bulletin

Easing of rates by the Reserve Bank of India might still have to wait going by the hawkish tone in an assessment of the economy published by the RBI economists in its latest monthly bulletin. “A modest easing of headline inflation in the reading for April 2024 confirms the expectation that an uneven and lagged … Read more

RBI extends rate pause as food price pressure lingers

RBI‘s monetary policy committee on Friday decided to keep interest rates on hold for the seventh successive meeting, stating that “growth has surpassed all projections but cautioned that food price uncertainties continue to weigh on the inflation trajectory going forward”. RBI governor Shaktikanta Das said, “Two years ago, when inflation was at its peak at … Read more

Raghuram Rajan calls upon EMs to build forex reserves

  You have criticized monetary policymakers’ response to the 2008 global economic crisis, which had profound spillover effects to which they “paid insufficient heed.” In your new book, Monetary Policy and Its Unintended Consequences, you offer a “sketch of a model” showing how monetary-policy spillovers “cause leveraging, booms, and eventually busts in capital-receiving countries.” How … Read more

Factory output powers down in Nov, food fuels inflation in Dec

While industrial output growth fell to an eight-month low of 2.4% in November, consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation rose 5.69%, its fastest pace in four months in December, the statistics ministry said. Though factory output points to a slowdown in manufacturing growth momentum in November, in the April-November period of this fiscal, it expanded 6.4%, … Read more

Red Sea disruptions ring India alarm bells | India News

The targeted strikes by the US and the UK on Houthi militia have increased the worry for policymakers as the disruption around Red Sea has now begun to impact supply chains apart from making shipping schedules erratic. While the commerce department is working on an inter-ministerial consultation next week to address some of the concerns … Read more

Janet Yellen says soft landing looks good, unemployment may level off

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she sees a good chance of the US economy achieving a soft landing, with the unemployment rate — which has ticked up in recent months — averting a sharp increase. “Signs are very good that we’ll achieve a soft landing, with unemployment stabilizing more or less where it is, or … Read more

Fed minutes show unity on cautious approach to future rate hikes

Federal Reserve policymakers at their most recent meeting united around a strategy to “proceed carefully” on future interest-rate moves and base any further tightening on progress toward their inflation goal. “All participants agreed that the committee was in a position to proceed carefully and that policy decisions at every meeting would continue to be based … Read more

Retail inflation slows to 6.83% as vegetable prices decline

Retail inflation moderated to 6.83% in August from a 15-month high of 7.44% in July due to easing vegetable prices, offering a measure of relief to the Indian central bank and bond investors. Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation, however, continued to exceed the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) target range of 2-6%. A Mint poll … Read more