Retail inflation moderated to 6.83% in August from a 15-month high of 7.44% in July due to easing vegetable prices, offering a measure of relief to the Indian central bank and bond investors. Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation, however, continued to exceed the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) target range of 2-6%. A Mint poll … Read more
The chief economists at the American Bankers Association are of the opinion that the US Federal Reserve is done with raising interest rates and will likely to cut them by roughly one percentage point next year, reported the Bloomberg. The latest forecast from the Economic Advisory Committee of the American Bankers Association shows that the … Read more
Moody’s, the credit ratings agency, recently issued a new cautionary message concerning the U.S. banking system. What Happened: Moody’s shared in a note its decision to lower the ratings of 10 regional banks and that it is contemplating whether to downgrade several major lenders, including Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB), State Street Corp (NYSE:STT), Truist Financial Corp (NYSE:TFC), Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc (NYSE:CFR) and Northern Trust Corp (NASDAQ:NTRS). … Read more
The Fed will likely pause any further hikes in interest-rate as inflation starts to cool down, Moody’s Mark Zandi said. Zandi said he’s confident inflation will drop to the Fed’s 2% target by May next year. The ongoing stress in the banking system and recession risks are also factors that might convince the Fed to … Read more
AI is in a “baby bubble” for now, Bank of America said Friday. What could burst the bubble is the Fed pausing rate hikes and then restarting the cycle. BofA said the dot-com blow-up in the early 2000s had roots in the Fed restarting policy tightening in 1999. Artificial intelligence is this year’s investment craze … Read more
Investors can’t stop piling up cash, with assets in money market funds ballooning to a record $5.3 trillion. The surge in cash comes amid a combo of high interest rates and depressed investor sentiment towards the stock market. But that massive pile of cash could be the fuel needed to drive the next bull market … Read more
The Fed will finally cut interest rates in the fall, former PIMCO economist Paul McCulley predicted. That’s because banking turmoil will put credit in a “tight vise,” slowing the economy, he warned. Economists have flagged the risk of recession over the past year as the Fed aggressively hiked rates. Despite what Jerome Powell and the … Read more
Equities and other risk assets will take a hit when central banks withdraw as much as $800 billion of stimulus deployed to prop up the global economy, according to Citigroup Inc. The risk rally has been fueled by the injection of over $1 trillion of central bank liquidity, and high-frequency liquidity indicators suggest this is … Read more
India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) said Tuesday, benefits to companies owing to lower interest rates and a reduction in debt are likely to be reversed in the current fiscal year. According to the report, the move will take place because of a sharp rise in interest rates and higher working capital financing needs. Ind-Ra expects … Read more