RBI‘s monetary policy committee on Friday decided to keep interest rates on hold for the seventh successive meeting, stating that “growth has surpassed all projections but cautioned that food price uncertainties continue to weigh on the inflation trajectory going forward”. RBI governor Shaktikanta Das said, “Two years ago, when inflation was at its peak at … Read more
Temporary food shocks, fiscal consolidation and high real interest rates have created the scope for reduction in policy interest rates, said external members of the Monetary Policy Committee, but those from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) believe that the markets are running ahead of policy makers. Prof. J.R. Varma, who voted for a reduction … Read more
You have criticized monetary policymakers’ response to the 2008 global economic crisis, which had profound spillover effects to which they “paid insufficient heed.” In your new book, Monetary Policy and Its Unintended Consequences, you offer a “sketch of a model” showing how monetary-policy spillovers “cause leveraging, booms, and eventually busts in capital-receiving countries.” How … Read more
Federal Reserve policymakers at their most recent meeting united around a strategy to “proceed carefully” on future interest-rate moves and base any further tightening on progress toward their inflation goal. “All participants agreed that the committee was in a position to proceed carefully and that policy decisions at every meeting would continue to be based … Read more
Retail inflation moderated to 6.83% in August from a 15-month high of 7.44% in July due to easing vegetable prices, offering a measure of relief to the Indian central bank and bond investors. Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation, however, continued to exceed the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) target range of 2-6%. A Mint poll … Read more
The chief economists at the American Bankers Association are of the opinion that the US Federal Reserve is done with raising interest rates and will likely to cut them by roughly one percentage point next year, reported the Bloomberg. The latest forecast from the Economic Advisory Committee of the American Bankers Association shows that the … Read more
Moody’s, the credit ratings agency, recently issued a new cautionary message concerning the U.S. banking system. What Happened: Moody’s shared in a note its decision to lower the ratings of 10 regional banks and that it is contemplating whether to downgrade several major lenders, including Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB), State Street Corp (NYSE:STT), Truist Financial Corp (NYSE:TFC), Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc (NYSE:CFR) and Northern Trust Corp (NASDAQ:NTRS). … Read more
The Fed will likely pause any further hikes in interest-rate as inflation starts to cool down, Moody’s Mark Zandi said. Zandi said he’s confident inflation will drop to the Fed’s 2% target by May next year. The ongoing stress in the banking system and recession risks are also factors that might convince the Fed to … Read more
AI is in a “baby bubble” for now, Bank of America said Friday. What could burst the bubble is the Fed pausing rate hikes and then restarting the cycle. BofA said the dot-com blow-up in the early 2000s had roots in the Fed restarting policy tightening in 1999. Artificial intelligence is this year’s investment craze … Read more